Assessment of the population health risk under the impact of climatic factors in the territory of St Petersburg

Authors

  • Sergei Noskov North-Western State Medical University named after I. I. Mechnikov, 41, Kirochnaya ul., St. Petersburg, 191015, Russian Federation ; North-West Public Health Research Center, 4, ul. 2-ya Sovetskaya, St Petersburg, 191036, Russian Federation
  • Olga Mironenko North-Western State Medical University named after I. I. Mechnikov, 41, Kirochnaya ul., St. Petersburg, 191015, Russian Federation;St Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya nab., St Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation
  • Gennady Yeremin North-West Public Health Research Center, 4, ul. 2-ya Sovetskaya, St Petersburg, 191036, Russian Federation
  • Elena Golovina Russian State Hydrometeorological University, 79, ul. Voronezhskaya, St Petersburg, 192007, Russian Federation
  • Olga Stupishina St. Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya nab., St. Petersburg, 199034, Russian Federation
  • Ekaterina Fedorova North-Western State Medical University named after I. I. Mechnikov, 41, Kirochnaya ul., St. Petersburg, 191015, Russian Federation
  • Galina Kargatova North-Western State Medical University named after I. I. Mechnikov, 41, Kirochnaya ul., St. Petersburg, 191015, Russian Federation

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu11.2022.204

Abstract

In recent years, climate change has been considered one of the leading factors affecting the health of the population, one of the conditions for the implementation of this concept for specific risk factors in St Petersburg is the development and use of adequate methods. In this work, as a methodological basis for assessing the state of health of the population, taking into account climatic conditions, the methodology of MR 2.1.10.0057-12 “The state of health of the population in connection with the state of the environment and living conditions of the population. Assessing the risk and damage from climate change affecting the increase in morbidity and mortality in high-risk population groups. Guidelines” was used. The presence of statistically significant correlations between the effective air temperature in St Petersburg and the primary incidence of diabetes mellitus in people older than working age has been established (Spearman rank correlation coefficient –0.829, p = 0.042); primary incidence of acute respiratory infections of the upper respiratory tract in children 0–14 years old (Spearman rank correlation coefficient –0.886, p = 0.019); primary incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in children 15–17 years (Spearman rank correlation
coefficient –0.943, р = 0.005). The presence of established direct and inverse statistically significant correlations can be explained logically based on modern ideas about the impact of climatic parameters on human health, however, in this case, the logical connection seems doubtful due to the highest deviation of the average annual air temperature from the norm in 2020 and the pandemic of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19. Therefore, a decrease in morbidity (in the case of a negative correlation) can be explained by a reduction in planned medical care.

Keywords:

morbidity, population, public health risk assessment, climate, St Petersburg

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References


References

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Published

2022-10-31

How to Cite

Noskov , S. ., Mironenko , O. ., Yeremin, G. ., Golovina, E. ., Stupishina, O. ., Fedorova , E. ., & Kargatova , G. . (2022). Assessment of the population health risk under the impact of climatic factors in the territory of St Petersburg. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Medicine, 17(2), 109–122. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu11.2022.204

Issue

Vol. 17 No. 2 (2022)

Section

Hygiene

License

Articles of "Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Medicine" are open access distributed under the terms of the License Agreement with Saint Petersburg State University, which permits to the authors unrestricted distribution and self-archiving free of charge.

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